HMH
Hải Minh ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼ Slightly negative
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HMH posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 30.7 | 33.2 | 30.4 | 30.4 | 27.7 | 29.6 | 28.3 | 27.3 | 22.6 | 20.2 | 20.4 | 21.0 |
| Growth | -7% | +9% | +0% | +10% | -6% | +4% | +4% | +21% | +12% | -1% | -3% | — |
| Net Income | 12.4 | 5.0 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 1.8 | 11.2 | 2.4 | 2.8 | -0.7 | 5.7 | -1.0 |
| Net Margin | 40.50% | 15.18% | 29.17% | 6.29% | 40.36% | 5.93% | 39.47% | 8.69% | 12.37% | -3.61% | 27.76% | -4.82% |
Drivers of HMH's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 12.2% to 11.7% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 22.66%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 1.6pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.8pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.7pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Financial result accounts for 63.7% of PBT and lifted net margin by 0.6pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC narrowed to 13.07%, falling 1.0pp. That translates to 13.07 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. ROIC is under pressure as NOPAT margin steady and capital turnover broadly stable have not provided enough support, with invested capital holding roughly steady.
Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.16x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 2.3bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables and higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 24.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.1 days, DSO rose 6.9 days, and DPO fell 17.1 days.
All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +24.1 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DSO increased by +6.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.13x and interest coverage at 6.20x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 1616.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 2.1bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -30.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 27.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +3.1bn. Financing cash flow was positive +6.9bn.
CFO / net income was 0.67x.
After spending +6.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +12.4bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.13x. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 62.7% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.67x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
121.8 | 107.9 | 80.4 | 83.8 | 90.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
101.6 | 87.1 | 68.3 | 73.3 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
20.1 | 20.8 | 12.1 | 10.5 | 15.0 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 3.8 | -1.4 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
9.0 | 7.1 | 11.6 | 9.3 | -7.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
30.3 | 20.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 18.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
30.9 | 20.8 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 19.5 |
|
Net Income
|
27.0 | 18.1 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 16.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
26.9 | 18.0 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 16.2 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
2,050.00 | 1,402.00 | 300.00 | 130.00 | 1,186.00 |
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