HMH

Hải Minh ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Pre-tax profit relies materially on non-core sources Net financial result/PBT 62.72%
Price
18,000
Latest close
25 May 2026
P/E 8.68x
P/B 0.98x
EPS 2,074
BVPS 18,315
ROE 11.6%
ROA 10.3%
Profit Margin 22.5%
Asset Turnover 0.46x
Equity Mult. 1.13x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HMH posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 125bn
+10.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
22.66%
−0.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 28bn
+6.7%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
62.7%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 30.7 33.2 30.4 30.4 27.7 29.6 28.3 27.3 22.6 20.2 20.4 21.0
Growth -7% +9% +0% +10% -6% +4% +4% +21% +12% -1% -3%
Net Income 12.4 5.0 8.9 1.9 11.2 1.8 11.2 2.4 2.8 -0.7 5.7 -1.0
Net Margin 40.50% 15.18% 29.17% 6.29% 40.36% 5.93% 39.47% 8.69% 12.37% -3.61% 27.76% -4.82%

Drivers of HMH's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 4.1bn
Tax ↓ 1.5bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 1.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 2.3bn
Gross profit ↑ 0.5bn
Financial income ↓ 1.4bn
Other profit ↓ 0.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 12.2% = 23.5% × 0.47 × 1.11
2026Q1 11.7% = 22.7% × 0.46 × 1.13

ROE fell from 12.2% to 11.7% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 22.7% -0.8pp Asset turnover: 0.46x -0.01x Leverage: 1.13x +0.02x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 22.66%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 1.6pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.8pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.7pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 22.66% −0.8pp
Gross Margin 16.56% −1.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 7.19% +0.8pp
Non-core / Revenue 16.41% +0.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 63.7% of PBT and lifted net margin by 0.6pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to 13.07%, falling 1.0pp. That translates to 13.07 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. ROIC is under pressure as NOPAT margin steady and capital turnover broadly stable have not provided enough support, with invested capital holding roughly steady.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 13.07% −1.0pp
NOPAT Margin 22.29% −0.1pp
Capital Turnover 0.59x −0.04x
Average Invested Capital 212.7bn +32.3bn

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.16x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 2.3bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables and higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −2.0bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −0.0bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +4.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 24.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.1 days, DSO rose 6.9 days, and DPO fell 17.1 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +24.1 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +6.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 40.8 days +6.9 days
Inventory 0.1 days +0.1 days
Payables 19.4 days −17.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 21.5 days +24.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.13x and interest coverage at 6.20x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 1616.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 2.1bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.13x −0.01x
Interest Coverage 6.20x −2.07x
Cash / Debt 1616.1% +222.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 0.67x +3.32x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -30.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 27.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +3.1bn. Financing cash flow was positive +6.9bn.

CFO / net income was 0.67x.

After spending +6.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +12.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 18.8bn +88.7bn
Cash Capex 6.4bn +2.1bn
FCF TTM +12.4bn +86.6bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.13x. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x of equity.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 62.7% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.67x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
121.8 107.9 80.4 83.8 90.8
Cost of Goods Sold
101.6 87.1 68.3 73.3 0.0
Gross Profit
20.1 20.8 12.1 10.5 15.0
Financial Expenses
7.5 4.5 1.0 3.8 -1.4
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
9.0 7.1 11.6 9.3 -7.0
Operating Profit
30.3 20.2 1.5 1.9 18.5
Profit Before Tax
30.9 20.8 5.6 2.1 19.5
Net Income
27.0 18.1 3.9 1.9 16.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
26.9 18.0 3.9 2.0 16.2
Earnings per Share
2,050.00 1,402.00 300.00 130.00 1,186.00

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