MAC
Tập đoàn Macstar ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MAC is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 89.1 | 85.6 | 72.0 | 53.2 | 42.8 | 40.6 | 34.4 | 30.1 | 19.1 | 21.0 | 20.6 | 19.7 |
| Growth | +4% | +19% | +35% | +24% | +5% | +18% | +14% | +58% | -9% | +2% | +4% | — |
| Net Income | 23.9 | 14.5 | 27.4 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 24.9 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 19.3 | 15.1 |
| Net Margin | 26.79% | 16.95% | 38.10% | 30.87% | 17.73% | 13.32% | 21.50% | 82.71% | 26.83% | 18.59% | 93.90% | 76.72% |
Drivers of MAC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 16.0% to 12.4% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 27.42%, losing 3.2pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.2pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 2.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 3.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 14.5pp remained a drag).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 11.4pp, financial result still accounts for 90.0% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 12.06%, losing 7.0pp. That translates to 12.06 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 5.9pp and capital turnover fell 0.13x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 378bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.27x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 55.9bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables and higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 14.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 4.5 days, DSO rose 0.2 days, and DPO rose 10.6 days.
Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +0.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 437.7bn due to capex of 114.4bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.03x and interest coverage at 4.01x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 80.2% of total debt, cash equals 115.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 212.3bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 80.2% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -175.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -135.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +310.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +728.2bn.
CFO / net income was -5.05x.
After spending +114.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −437.7bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.03x. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.2 pp.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 80.5% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -5.05x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 27.42% after a 3.2pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
253.6 | 124.5 | 76.2 | 82.0 | 89.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
227.0 | 114.0 | 59.0 | 69.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
26.7 | 10.5 | 17.3 | 12.1 | 4.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
18.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -0.7 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
2.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.5 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
26.2 | 16.8 | 9.8 | 16.8 | -13.9 |
|
Operating Profit
|
68.9 | 53.8 | 46.3 | 11.2 | -10.0 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
78.2 | 53.8 | 47.7 | 9.0 | -11.3 |
|
Net Income
|
65.8 | 42.5 | 42.1 | 9.0 | -11.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
65.8 | 49.0 | 42.3 | 9.0 | -11.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
2,245.00 | 3,106.00 | 2,794.00 | 593.00 | -33.00 |
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