MAC

Tập đoàn Macstar ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼ Under pressure

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 27.42%, −3.21pp YoY
Price
11,500
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 4.28x
P/B 0.53x
EPS 2,685
BVPS 21,561
ROE 9.7%
ROA 7.7%
Profit Margin 21.3%
Asset Turnover 0.36x
Equity Mult. 1.26x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MAC is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 300bn
+102.6%YoY
NET MARGIN
27.42%
−3.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 82bn
+81.3%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
80.5%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 89.1 85.6 72.0 53.2 42.8 40.6 34.4 30.1 19.1 21.0 20.6 19.7
Growth +4% +19% +35% +24% +5% +18% +14% +58% -9% +2% +4%
Net Income 23.9 14.5 27.4 16.4 7.6 5.4 7.4 24.9 5.1 3.9 19.3 15.1
Net Margin 26.79% 16.95% 38.10% 30.87% 17.73% 13.32% 21.50% 82.71% 26.83% 18.59% 93.90% 76.72%

Drivers of MAC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 34.8bn
Gross profit ↑ 14.2bn
Other profit ↑ 9.1bn
Minority interests ↑ 20.4bn
Finance costs ↑ 17.9bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 8.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 7.4bn
Gross profit ↑ 4.5bn
Minority interests ↑ 5.7bn
Finance costs ↑ 2.2bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.2bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.6bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 16.0% = 30.6% × 0.48 × 1.08
2026Q1 12.4% = 27.4% × 0.36 × 1.26

ROE fell from 16.0% to 12.4% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 27.4% -3.2pp Asset turnover: 0.36x -0.12x Leverage: 1.26x +0.18x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 27.42%, losing 3.2pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.2pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 2.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 3.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 14.5pp remained a drag).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 27.42% −3.2pp
Gross Margin 10.45% −1.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 10.68% −2.3pp
Non-core / Revenue 28.21% −11.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 11.4pp, financial result still accounts for 90.0% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 12.06%, losing 7.0pp. That translates to 12.06 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 5.9pp and capital turnover fell 0.13x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 378bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 12.06% −7.0pp
NOPAT Margin 24.81% −5.9pp
Capital Turnover 0.49x −0.13x
Average Invested Capital 617.1bn +378.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.27x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 55.9bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables and higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −20.6bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −0.4bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +76.8bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 14.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 4.5 days, DSO rose 0.2 days, and DPO rose 10.6 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 44.9 days +0.2 days
Inventory 7.5 days −4.5 days
Payables 28.7 days +10.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 23.7 days −14.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 437.7bn due to capex of 114.4bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.03x and interest coverage at 4.01x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 80.2% of total debt, cash equals 115.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 212.3bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 80.2% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.03x +0.11x
Interest Coverage 4.01x −13.17x
Cash / Debt 115.4% −181.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 80.2% +70.1pp
CFO / NI -5.05x −5.72x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -175.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -135.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +310.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +728.2bn.

CFO / net income was -5.05x.

After spending +114.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −437.7bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 323.2bn −355.0bn
Cash Capex 114.4bn +95.2bn
FCF TTM −437.7bn −450.2bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.03x. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.2 pp.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x of equity.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 80.5% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -5.05x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 27.42% after a 3.2pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
253.6 124.5 76.2 82.0 89.6
Cost of Goods Sold
227.0 114.0 59.0 69.9 0.0
Gross Profit
26.7 10.5 17.3 12.1 4.5
Financial Expenses
18.3 2.0 1.4 3.4 -0.7
Selling Expenses
2.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 -0.5
General and Administrative Expenses
26.2 16.8 9.8 16.8 -13.9
Operating Profit
68.9 53.8 46.3 11.2 -10.0
Profit Before Tax
78.2 53.8 47.7 9.0 -11.3
Net Income
65.8 42.5 42.1 9.0 -11.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
65.8 49.0 42.3 9.0 -11.3
Earnings per Share
2,245.00 3,106.00 2,794.00 593.00 -33.00

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