VIN
Giao nhận Kho vận Ngoại Thương Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VIN is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 223.9 | 106.2 | 177.9 | 136.9 | 71.9 | 75.4 | 30.2 | 31.6 | 28.5 | 34.6 | 38.2 | 36.7 |
| Growth | +111% | -40% | +30% | +90% | -5% | +150% | -5% | +11% | -18% | -10% | +4% | — |
| Net Income | 4.5 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 15.8 | -1.3 | 10.8 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 9.7 | -3.8 | 11.1 | 21.7 |
| Net Margin | 1.99% | -1.26% | -0.82% | 11.55% | -1.83% | 14.26% | 17.10% | 18.76% | 34.07% | -10.85% | 29.16% | 59.12% |
Drivers of VIN's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher associates income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 3.6% to 3.1% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 2.71%, losing 7.1pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 7.7pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 11.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 40.8pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.3pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 41.0pp, financial result still accounts for 265.8% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.06x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.07x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 15.1bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 46.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 2.0 days, DSO fell 50.1 days, and DPO fell 5.9 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 12.9bn due to capex of 7.2bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.07x and interest coverage at 393.34x.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -2.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 40.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +38.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +15.3bn.
CFO / net income was -0.33x.
After spending +7.2bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −12.9bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 7.1 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 256.8%. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.07x.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.07x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 256.8% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.33x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 2.71% after a 7.1pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
492.9 | 165.7 | 142.4 | 214.2 | 259.1 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
480.5 | 143.2 | 118.1 | 187.4 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
12.4 | 22.5 | 24.3 | 26.8 | 7.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.0 | -2.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | -0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
7.8 | 7.1 | 8.9 | 15.2 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
36.5 | 25.9 | 24.7 | 25.9 | -16.9 |
|
Operating Profit
|
10.3 | 28.8 | 45.5 | 96.3 | 47.2 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
12.0 | 29.9 | 45.8 | 96.4 | 47.7 |
|
Net Income
|
11.7 | 29.3 | 44.5 | 95.6 | 46.0 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
11.7 | 29.2 | 44.4 | 95.7 | 45.9 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
457.00 | 1,146.00 | 1,742.00 | 3,752.00 | 1,802.00 |
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