VIN

Giao nhận Kho vận Ngoại Thương Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 2.71%, −7.11pp YoY
Price
15,400
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 22.51x
P/B 0.69x
EPS 684
BVPS 22,344
ROE 3.1%
ROA 2.9%
Profit Margin 2.7%
Asset Turnover 1.08x
Equity Mult. 1.05x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VIN is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 645bn
+208.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
2.71%
−7.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 17bn
−14.9%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
256.8%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 223.9 106.2 177.9 136.9 71.9 75.4 30.2 31.6 28.5 34.6 38.2 36.7
Growth +111% -40% +30% +90% -5% +150% -5% +11% -18% -10% +4%
Net Income 4.5 -1.3 -1.5 15.8 -1.3 10.8 5.2 5.9 9.7 -3.8 11.1 21.7
Net Margin 1.99% -1.26% -0.82% 11.55% -1.83% 14.26% 17.10% 18.76% 34.07% -10.85% 29.16% 59.12%

Drivers of VIN's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Associates income ↑ 55.9bn
Selling expenses ↓ 1.6bn
Other profit ↑ 0.6bn
Financial income ↓ 50.9bn
Gross profit ↓ 4.2bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 3.6bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher associates income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Associates income ↑ 52.1bn
Gross profit ↑ 5.2bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 3.1bn
Selling expenses ↓ 1.5bn
Financial income ↓ 55.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 3.6% = 9.8% × 0.35 × 1.04
2026Q1 3.1% = 2.7% × 1.08 × 1.05

ROE fell from 3.6% to 3.1% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 2.7% -7.1pp Asset turnover: 1.08x +0.73x Leverage: 1.05x +0.01x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 2.71%, losing 7.1pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 7.7pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 11.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 40.8pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.3pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 2.71% −7.1pp
Gross Margin 2.73% −7.7pp
SG&A / Revenue 6.18% −11.9pp
Non-core / Revenue 7.63% −41.0pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 41.0pp, financial result still accounts for 265.8% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.06x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.07x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 15.1bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +11.0bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +1.0bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +3.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 46.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 2.0 days, DSO fell 50.1 days, and DPO fell 5.9 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 28.2 days −50.1 days
Inventory 1.1 days −2.0 days
Payables 6.7 days −5.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 22.6 days −46.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 12.9bn due to capex of 7.2bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.07x and interest coverage at 393.34x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.07x
Interest Coverage 393.34x +384.05x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI -0.33x +4.54x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -2.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 40.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +38.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +15.3bn.

CFO / net income was -0.33x.

After spending +7.2bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −12.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 5.7bn +94.1bn
Cash Capex 7.2bn +2.4bn
FCF TTM −12.9bn +91.6bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 7.1 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 256.8%. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.07x.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.07x of equity.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 256.8% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.33x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 2.71% after a 7.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
492.9 165.7 142.4 214.2 259.1
Cost of Goods Sold
480.5 143.2 118.1 187.4 0.0
Gross Profit
12.4 22.5 24.3 26.8 7.5
Financial Expenses
0.0 -2.2 2.3 0.2 -0.0
Selling Expenses
7.8 7.1 8.9 15.2 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
36.5 25.9 24.7 25.9 -16.9
Operating Profit
10.3 28.8 45.5 96.3 47.2
Profit Before Tax
12.0 29.9 45.8 96.4 47.7
Net Income
11.7 29.3 44.5 95.6 46.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
11.7 29.2 44.4 95.7 45.9
Earnings per Share
457.00 1,146.00 1,742.00 3,752.00 1,802.00

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