HSV
Tập đoàn HSV Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HSV posted slightly higher profit versus the same period, but the increase is thin and not yet paired with clear improvement in revenue or margins — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 412.3 | 480.4 | 382.3 | 463.7 | 289.6 | 244.1 | 258.6 | 257.1 | 158.8 | 180.8 | 121.2 | 152.1 |
| Growth | -14% | +26% | -18% | +60% | +19% | -6% | +1% | +62% | -12% | +49% | -20% | — |
| Net Income | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Net Margin | 0.30% | 0.11% | 0.23% | 0.41% | 0.39% | 0.73% | 0.35% | 0.19% | 0.56% | 0.37% | 1.14% | 0.57% |
Drivers of HSV's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 2.5% to 1.8% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 0.26%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC narrowed to 0.78%, falling 0.6pp. That translates to 0.78 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 0.2pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital expanded strongly by 163bn.
Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 0.78% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 2.25x equity, net debt at 0.99x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 77.1bn, roughly 13.4% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 112.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 15.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 11.9 days, DSO rose 0.2 days, and DPO rose 3.8 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +0.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 179.9bn due to capex of 67.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.99x and interest coverage only at 0.28x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 11.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 367.3bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 0.28x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -31.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -110.1bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +141.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +156.5bn.
CFO / net income was -24.60x.
After spending +67.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −179.9bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -24.60x. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 0.8%.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -24.60x.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,616.0 | 918.6 | 683.4 | 755.4 | 401.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
1,594.1 | 897.0 | 656.6 | 735.4 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
21.9 | 21.6 | 26.8 | 20.0 | 16.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
16.6 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 6.3 | -1.9 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
1.1 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 3.0 | -1.6 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
7.1 | 7.0 | 8.7 | 10.3 | -5.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
4.9 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 8.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
5.6 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 8.4 |
|
Net Income
|
4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 6.7 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 6.7 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
280.00 | 255.00 | 231.00 | 221.00 | 446.70 |
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