HSV

Tập đoàn HSV Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Price
4,400
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 17.49x
P/B 0.41x
EPS 252
BVPS 10,695
ROE 1.8%
ROA 0.8%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Asset Turnover 3.04x
Equity Mult. 2.27x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HSV posted slightly higher profit versus the same period, but the increase is thin and not yet paired with clear improvement in revenue or margins — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,739bn
+65.7%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.26%
−0.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 5bn
+5.9%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-24.60x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 412.3 480.4 382.3 463.7 289.6 244.1 258.6 257.1 158.8 180.8 121.2 152.1
Growth -14% +26% -18% +60% +19% -6% +1% +62% -12% +49% -20%
Net Income 1.2 0.5 0.9 1.9 1.1 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.4 0.9
Net Margin 0.30% 0.11% 0.23% 0.41% 0.39% 0.73% 0.35% 0.19% 0.56% 0.37% 1.14% 0.57%

Drivers of HSV's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 4.2bn
Gross profit ↑ 2.4bn
Other profit ↑ 1.3bn
Selling expenses ↓ 0.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 7.4bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 0.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1.1bn
Financial income ↑ 0.6bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.0bn
Tax ↓ 0.0bn
Finance costs ↑ 1.5bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 2.5% = 0.4% × 2.83 × 2.15
2026Q1 1.8% = 0.3% × 3.04 × 2.27

ROE fell from 2.5% to 1.8% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 0.3% -0.1pp Asset turnover: 3.04x +0.21x Leverage: 2.27x +0.12x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 0.26%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.26% −0.1pp
Gross Margin 1.32% −0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 0.47% −0.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to 0.78%, falling 0.6pp. That translates to 0.78 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 0.2pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital expanded strongly by 163bn.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 0.78% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 0.78% −0.6pp
NOPAT Margin 0.23% −0.2pp
Capital Turnover 3.37x +0.40x
Average Invested Capital 516.4bn +162.6bn

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 2.25x equity, net debt at 0.99x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 77.1bn, roughly 13.4% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 112.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −180.0bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +25.8bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +41.8bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 15.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 11.9 days, DSO rose 0.2 days, and DPO rose 3.8 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 37.9 days +0.2 days
Inventory 14.4 days −11.9 days
Payables 4.6 days +3.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 47.7 days −15.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 179.9bn due to capex of 67.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.99x and interest coverage only at 0.28x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 11.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 367.3bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.28x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.99x −0.18x
Interest Coverage 0.28x −0.30x
Cash / Debt 11.3% +3.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -24.60x −12.58x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -31.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -110.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +141.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +156.5bn.

CFO / net income was -24.60x.

After spending +67.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −179.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 112.2bn −60.4bn
Cash Capex 67.7bn
FCF TTM −179.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -24.60x. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 0.8%.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -24.60x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,616.0 918.6 683.4 755.4 401.6
Cost of Goods Sold
1,594.1 897.0 656.6 735.4 0.0
Gross Profit
21.9 21.6 26.8 20.0 16.5
Financial Expenses
16.6 11.0 13.0 6.3 -1.9
Selling Expenses
1.1 1.4 3.9 3.0 -1.6
General and Administrative Expenses
7.1 7.0 8.7 10.3 -5.0
Operating Profit
4.9 6.2 4.9 3.4 8.4
Profit Before Tax
5.6 5.1 4.8 4.8 8.4
Net Income
4.4 4.0 3.6 3.4 6.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
4.4 4.0 3.6 3.4 6.7
Earnings per Share
280.00 255.00 231.00 221.00 446.70

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