PSD
Dịch vụ Phân phối Tổng hợp Dầu khí ·HNX ·2026Q1
▲▲ Improving positively
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PSD is growing strongly on the back of scale expansion, while margins have only improved slightly — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,517.2 | 2,376.2 | 2,214.6 | 1,885.9 | 1,342.7 | 1,338.1 | 1,539.6 | 1,392.7 | 1,457.0 | 1,711.7 | 1,683.9 | 1,519.0 |
| Growth | +6% | +7% | +17% | +40% | +0% | -13% | +11% | -4% | -15% | +2% | +11% | — |
| Net Income | 54.2 | 46.9 | 44.4 | 29.5 | 22.1 | 17.5 | 27.9 | 18.0 | 20.1 | 23.0 | 12.9 | 5.9 |
| Net Margin | 2.15% | 1.97% | 2.00% | 1.56% | 1.65% | 1.31% | 1.81% | 1.29% | 1.38% | 1.35% | 0.77% | 0.39% |
Drivers of PSD's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 14.7% to 25.6% — all three components improved, with asset turnover contributing the most.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin edged up to 1.95%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 0.8pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 0.4pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.2pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).
The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital is being used more efficiently — ROIC rose and cash cycle shortened to 61.8 days.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC expanded to 6.45%, rising 2.8pp. That translates to 6.45 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 0.5pp and capital turnover rose 0.81x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 473bn — capital-return quality improved from both sides.
Both margin and turnover contributed — the improvement has a dual foundation and is more durable than a single-pillar expansion.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 5.52x equity, net debt at 3.34x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 965.4bn, roughly 20.7% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 746.7bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 24.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 25.5 days, DSO fell 3.3 days, and DPO fell 3.9 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 3.34x and interest coverage only at 1.89x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 2.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,649.8bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 3.34x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is 1.89x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -458.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -399.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +857.9bn. Financing cash flow was positive +982.4bn.
CFO / net income was -4.34x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 27.9%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 1.89x.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 27.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -4.34x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 1.89x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
7,819.4 | 5,700.8 | 6,764.4 | 8,634.6 | 8,526.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
7,412.6 | 5,379.9 | 6,469.9 | 8,213.7 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
406.8 | 320.9 | 294.6 | 420.9 | 461.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
87.3 | 59.1 | 119.0 | 109.4 | -30.8 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
246.4 | 190.8 | 171.5 | 180.5 | -150.4 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
50.8 | 55.2 | 35.0 | 48.8 | -136.5 |
|
Operating Profit
|
175.5 | 97.8 | 78.9 | 140.6 | 189.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
179.4 | 104.8 | 83.2 | 138.6 | 193.6 |
|
Net Income
|
143.1 | 82.6 | 63.3 | 112.9 | 138.7 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
143.1 | 82.6 | 62.2 | 112.5 | 143.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
2,709.00 | 1,559.00 | 1,196.00 | 2,770.00 | 4,717.00 |
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