TMC
Thương mại Xuất nhập khẩu Thủ Đức ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TMC posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 768.7 | 725.2 | 625.5 | 560.7 | 547.8 | 609.8 | 600.6 | 643.5 | 635.1 | 665.0 | 663.9 | 606.5 |
| Growth | +6% | +16% | +12% | +2% | -10% | +2% | -7% | +1% | -4% | +0% | +9% | — |
| Net Income | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Net Margin | 0.40% | 0.39% | 0.46% | 0.37% | 0.36% | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.36% | 0.32% | 0.52% | 0.94% | 0.21% |
Drivers of TMC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at 5.6% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 0.41%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Margin support from financial result remains high (43.4% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.96x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.36x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 20.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 2.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.2 days, DSO fell 0.3 days, and DPO rose 1.6 days.
All 3 drivers (collection, inventory, payables) are improving — working capital turnover is strengthening across the board.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 49.4bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.36x and interest coverage at 23.77x.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 49.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -20.8bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +28.6bn. Financing cash flow was negative +6.2bn.
CFO / net income was -0.54x.
After spending +22.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −28.5bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with self-funded cash generation remains weak remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 33.9%. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.36x.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.36x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 33.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.54x.
Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 28.5bn.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
2,459.1 | 2,489.0 | 2,539.7 | 3,073.8 | 1,568.2 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
2,307.2 | 2,348.1 | 2,408.1 | 2,953.5 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
151.9 | 140.9 | 131.6 | 120.3 | 119.8 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
94.0 | 82.2 | 75.1 | 74.3 | -60.4 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
50.7 | 49.3 | 49.6 | 43.1 | -45.5 |
|
Operating Profit
|
11.9 | 12.2 | 10.0 | 5.7 | 17.0 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
13.1 | 12.8 | 15.3 | 5.6 | 17.3 |
|
Net Income
|
9.5 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 4.5 | 13.8 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
9.5 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 4.5 | 13.8 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
770.00 | 808.00 | 959.00 | 360.00 | 390.00 |
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