TMC

Thương mại Xuất nhập khẩu Thủ Đức ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼ Under pressure

Self-funded cash generation remains weak CFO/NPAT −28 bn, −125 bn YoY
Price
7,800
Latest close
01 Jun 2026
P/E 8.90x
P/B 0.49x
EPS 876
BVPS 15,894
ROE 5.6%
ROA 2.5%
Profit Margin 0.4%
Asset Turnover 6.25x
Equity Mult. 2.20x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TMC posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 2,680bn
+11.6%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.41%
−0.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 11bn
+8.8%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
33.9%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 768.7 725.2 625.5 560.7 547.8 609.8 600.6 643.5 635.1 665.0 663.9 606.5
Growth +6% +16% +12% +2% -10% +2% -7% +1% -4% +0% +9%
Net Income 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.1 2.0 2.9 2.7 2.3 2.0 3.4 6.2 1.2
Net Margin 0.40% 0.39% 0.46% 0.37% 0.36% 0.48% 0.45% 0.36% 0.32% 0.52% 0.94% 0.21%

Drivers of TMC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 25.7bn
Finance costs ↓ 1.0bn
Financial income ↑ 0.7bn
Other profit ↑ 0.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 15.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 11.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 15.2bn
Other profit ↑ 0.2bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 8.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 5.6bn
Tax ↑ 0.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 5.2% = 0.4% × 6.33 × 1.97
2026Q1 5.6% = 0.4% × 6.25 × 2.20

ROE is broadly flat at 5.6% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 0.4% -0.0pp Asset turnover: 6.25x -0.08x Leverage: 2.20x +0.23x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 0.41%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.41% −0.0pp
Gross Margin 6.24% +0.3pp
SG&A / Revenue 5.94% +0.4pp
Non-core / Revenue 0.23% +0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Margin support from financial result remains high (43.4% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 0.37% −0.0pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.96x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.36x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 20.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −31.3bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −87.6bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +98.7bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 2.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.2 days, DSO fell 0.3 days, and DPO rose 1.6 days.

All 3 drivers (collection, inventory, payables) are improving — working capital turnover is strengthening across the board.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 8.4 days −0.3 days
Inventory 10.2 days −0.2 days
Payables 21.5 days +1.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -2.9 days −2.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 49.4bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.36x and interest coverage at 23.77x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.36x
Interest Coverage 23.77x +15.92x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI -0.54x −10.69x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 49.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -20.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +28.6bn. Financing cash flow was negative +6.2bn.

CFO / net income was -0.54x.

After spending +22.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −28.5bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 5.9bn −107.1bn
Cash Capex 22.6bn +18.1bn
FCF TTM −28.5bn −125.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with self-funded cash generation remains weak remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 33.9%. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.36x.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.36x of equity.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 33.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.54x.

Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 28.5bn.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
2,459.1 2,489.0 2,539.7 3,073.8 1,568.2
Cost of Goods Sold
2,307.2 2,348.1 2,408.1 2,953.5 0.0
Gross Profit
151.9 140.9 131.6 120.3 119.8
Financial Expenses
0.6 1.5 0.1 0.1 -0.1
Selling Expenses
94.0 82.2 75.1 74.3 -60.4
General and Administrative Expenses
50.7 49.3 49.6 43.1 -45.5
Operating Profit
11.9 12.2 10.0 5.7 17.0
Profit Before Tax
13.1 12.8 15.3 5.6 17.3
Net Income
9.5 10.0 11.9 4.5 13.8
Profit Attributable to Parent
9.5 10.0 11.9 4.5 13.8
Earnings per Share
770.00 808.00 959.00 360.00 390.00

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