AGF

Xuất nhập khẩu Thủy sản An Giang ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Pre-tax profit relies materially on non-core sources Net financial result/PBT 6.27%
Price
2,000
Latest close
29 May 2026
P/E -11.36x
P/B -0.29x
EPS -176
BVPS -6,982
ROE 2.6%
ROA -2.0%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Asset Turnover 2.19x
Equity Mult. -1.25x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, AGF is improving on both revenue and margins, though the magnitude is still moderate — profit is at an all-time high. Notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 532bn
+6.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
−0.93%
+0.3ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 5bn
+16.4%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
627.1%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 95.7 159.8 158.0 118.4 85.8 137.7 148.5 129.1 91.5 111.1 88.0 96.9
Growth -40% +1% +34% +38% -38% -7% +15% +41% -18% +26% -9%
Net Income -11.6 2.9 2.8 0.8 -9.3 0.5 2.4 0.5 -5.9 0.3 2.3 -6.8
Net Margin -12.07% 1.82% 1.80% 0.72% -10.87% 0.34% 1.61% 0.42% -6.49% 0.31% 2.59% -7.05%

Drivers of AGF's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 3.9bn
Other profit ↑ 2.1bn
Financial income ↑ 0.2bn
Gross profit ↓ 4.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.8bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 0.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to weaker other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 0.3bn
Other profit ↓ 1.1bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 0.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 0.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 3.2% = -1.2% × 1.85 × -1.44
2026Q1 2.6% = -0.9% × 2.19 × -1.25

ROE edged down from 3.2% to 2.6% — the components are broadly offsetting.

Net margin: -0.9% +0.3pp Asset turnover: 2.19x +0.34x Leverage: -1.25x +0.19x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at -0.93%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -0.93% +0.3pp
Gross Margin 8.23% −1.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 3.24% −0.0pp
Non-core / Revenue -5.92% +1.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 635.1% of PBT and lifted net margin by 1.6pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin
Capital Turnover 3.35x +0.70x
Average Invested Capital 158.9bn −30.6bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at -2.38x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 1.73x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 25.9bn, roughly 10.1% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 23.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +16.5bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −1.7bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +8.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 4.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 1.9 days, DSO rose 1.4 days, and DPO rose 3.8 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +1.4 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 63.6 days +1.4 days
Inventory 10.5 days −1.9 days
Payables 12.1 days +3.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 62.0 days −4.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 41.7bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -1.73x and interest coverage only at -0.14x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 2.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 348.4bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -0.14x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -1.73x +0.17x
Interest Coverage -0.14x −0.05x
Cash / Debt 2.3% −2.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -6.55x −1.72x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 41.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -6.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +35.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +35.4bn.

CFO / net income was -6.55x.

After spending +8.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +24.1bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 32.5bn +3.8bn
Cash Capex 8.4bn +4.1bn
FCF TTM +24.1bn −0.2bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at -0.14x.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 627.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -6.55x.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at -0.14x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
522.0 506.9 451.9 540.4 468.4
Cost of Goods Sold
477.6 454.9 399.1 505.1 0.0
Gross Profit
44.4 51.9 52.8 35.2 31.2
Financial Expenses
31.8 37.0 42.5 36.1 -38.5
Selling Expenses
4.1 3.2 4.0 14.6 -32.9
General and Administrative Expenses
12.2 12.6 10.1 -1.9 -12.5
Operating Profit
-3.2 -0.7 -3.4 -12.5 -51.9
Profit Before Tax
-2.5 -3.5 -6.0 -19.4 -65.0
Net Income
-2.5 -3.5 -6.0 -19.4 -65.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
-2.5 -3.5 -6.0 -19.4 -65.0
Earnings per Share
-89.00 -124.00 -214.00 -691.00 -2,312.00

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