TFC
Trang ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TFC is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — profit is at an all-time high. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 224.8 | 195.7 | 388.6 | 230.0 | 213.0 | 222.9 | 398.6 | 192.5 | 93.8 | 167.4 | 335.4 | 169.2 |
| Growth | +15% | -50% | +69% | +8% | -4% | -44% | +107% | +105% | -44% | -50% | +98% | — |
| Net Income | 18.6 | 31.0 | 69.3 | 30.9 | 39.2 | 40.3 | 81.8 | 27.3 | 3.3 | 12.4 | 45.1 | -1.3 |
| Net Margin | 8.27% | 15.82% | 17.83% | 13.45% | 18.39% | 18.09% | 20.53% | 14.19% | 3.51% | 7.41% | 13.44% | -0.79% |
Drivers of TFC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 55.6% to 31.1% — all three components weakened, with leverage being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 14.42%, losing 4.0pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 4.4pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.7pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.6pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.5pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 23.81%, losing 11.7pp. That translates to 23.81 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 4.5pp and capital turnover fell 0.22x, while invested capital rose by 76bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.97x equity, net debt at 0.21x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 190.1bn, roughly 18.6% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 61.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 14.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 2.5 days, DSO rose 12.0 days, and DPO fell 4.9 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 104.3 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +12.0 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.21x and interest coverage at 8.17x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 98.3% of total debt, cash equals 63.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 300.6bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 98.3% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 94.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -13.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +80.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +35.9bn.
CFO / net income was 0.34x.
After spending +8.2bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +42.3bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.34x. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 4.0 pp.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.34x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 14.42% after a 4.0pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,027.3 | 904.1 | 782.3 | 850.1 | 671.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
748.9 | 643.2 | 648.4 | 741.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
278.5 | 261.0 | 133.9 | 109.2 | 40.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
21.2 | 31.3 | 33.6 | 29.7 | -16.4 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
42.1 | 27.6 | 26.1 | 31.2 | -22.7 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
62.8 | 61.0 | 42.6 | 35.6 | -34.4 |
|
Operating Profit
|
201.8 | 189.6 | 58.4 | 31.7 | -23.7 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
198.7 | 188.3 | 58.3 | 32.0 | -23.7 |
|
Net Income
|
169.9 | 161.5 | 52.1 | 29.7 | -23.7 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
169.9 | 161.5 | 52.3 | 29.1 | -23.7 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
9,888.00 | 9,563.00 | 3,076.00 | 1,698.00 | -1,436.00 |
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