IDP

Sữa Quốc tế Lof ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 4.19%, −8.23pp YoY
Price
285,000
Latest close
01 Jun 2026
P/E 56.08x
P/B 4.90x
EPS 5,082
BVPS 58,119
ROE 9.2%
ROA 4.1%
Profit Margin 4.2%
Asset Turnover 1.00x
Equity Mult. 2.21x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, IDP posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. The key watch now is how long the business needs to stabilize its profit base.

TTM REVENUE
VND 7,502bn
+1.5%YoY
NET MARGIN
4.19%
−8.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 314bn
−65.8%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q1'23 Q4'22
Revenue 1,901.0 1,870.2 1,618.0 2,112.7 1,831.7 2,048.3 1,929.9 1,584.4 1,676.8 1,646.2 1,576.8 1,671.7
Growth +2% +16% -23% +15% -11% +6% +22% -6% +2% +4% -6%
Net Income 244.1 239.9 -133.7 -36.2 107.0 299.6 287.9 223.4 186.4 257.4 218.2 165.7
Net Margin 12.84% 12.83% -8.26% -1.71% 5.84% 14.62% 14.92% 14.10% 11.11% 15.64% 13.84% 9.91%

Drivers of IDP's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 161.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 441.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 213.0bn
Finance costs ↑ 65.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 119.9bn
Gross profit ↑ 28.1bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 27.3bn
Other profit ↓ 14.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 29.3% = 12.4% × 1.18 × 2.01
2026Q1 9.2% = 4.2% × 1.00 × 2.21

ROE fell from 29.3% to 9.2% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 4.2% -8.2pp Asset turnover: 1.00x -0.18x Leverage: 2.21x +0.20x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 4.19%, losing 8.2pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 6.3pp and Gross margin fell 3.4pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.9pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 4.19% −8.2pp
Gross Margin 36.67% −3.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 31.70% +6.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 5.19%, losing 14.6pp. That translates to 5.19 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 8.2pp and capital turnover fell 0.36x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 1,411bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 5.19% −14.6pp
NOPAT Margin 4.15% −8.2pp
Capital Turnover 1.25x −0.36x
Average Invested Capital 6,005.4bn +1,411.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.19x equity, net debt at 0.79x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 315.6bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +293.1bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +104.4bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −81.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 9.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 3.2 days, DSO rose 1.0 days, and DPO fell 5.4 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +9.6 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +1.0 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 8.0 days +1.0 days
Inventory 49.1 days +3.2 days
Payables 69.0 days −5.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -11.9 days +9.6 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 262.5bn due to capex of 1,237.9bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.79x and interest coverage at 2.57x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 58.2% of total debt, cash equals 2.5% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,903.5bn.

Watchpoints

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 2.5%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.79x +0.05x
Interest Coverage 2.57x −11.00x
Cash / Debt 2.5% −4.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 58.2% −11.5pp
CFO / NI 3.12x +3.07x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 308.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -836.3bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +527.7bn. Financing cash flow was positive +325.1bn.

CFO / net income was 3.12x.

After spending +1,237.9bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −262.5bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 975.3bn +926.1bn
Cash Capex 1,237.9bn +538.9bn
FCF TTM −262.5bn +387.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 3.12x. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 8.2 pp.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 3.12x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 4.19% after a 8.2pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
7,432.6 7,658.2 6,654.7 6,086.5 4,827.1
Cost of Goods Sold
4,709.6 4,533.2 3,948.1 3,723.5 0.0
Gross Profit
2,723.1 3,125.0 2,706.6 2,363.0 2,083.1
Financial Expenses
142.6 62.4 59.2 57.3 -27.2
Selling Expenses
2,197.4 1,884.2 1,450.8 1,281.9 -989.2
General and Administrative Expenses
327.9 249.7 177.4 134.3 -102.6
Operating Profit
228.2 1,105.1 1,165.4 990.8 1,038.4
Profit Before Tax
245.5 1,108.4 1,152.4 990.1 1,041.6
Net Income
177.2 875.3 924.4 810.5 822.8
Profit Attributable to Parent
175.3 875.3 924.4 810.5 822.8
Earnings per Share
2,836.00 14,183.00 15,465.00 13,750.00 13,958.84

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