NGC
Chế biến Thủy sản xuất khẩu Ngô Quyền ·UPCOM ·2022Q4
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2022Q4 basis, NGC posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 | Q4'20 | Q3'20 | Q2'20 | Q1'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 13.5 | 3.0 | 54.0 | 13.6 | 99.3 | 26.6 | 44.7 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 6.1 |
| Growth | +352% | -94% | +297% | -86% | +274% | -41% | +773% | +8% | +4% | +71% | -56% | — |
| Net Income | -2.3 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | -1.0 | 0.7 | -7.2 | -9.0 |
| Net Margin | -17.36% | -40.48% | -0.44% | -8.19% | 3.08% | 15.20% | 1.98% | 4.06% | -20.23% | 15.18% | -271.24% | -149.07% |
Drivers of NGC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE edged up from -220.2% to 197.1%, but the main driver was not core operations.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to -5.83%, losing 10.5pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 7.7pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 7.6pp).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 7.6pp, financial result still accounts for 80.1% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to -10.77%, losing 28.9pp. That translates to -10.77 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 10.5pp and capital turnover fell 2.20x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -10.77% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at -21.10x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 8.67x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 26.9bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +182.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 12.6bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -8.67x and interest coverage only at -1.31x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 0.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 44.8bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is -1.31x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 12.6bn in 2022, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +12.6bn. Financing cash flow was negative +12.7bn.
CFO / net income was -2.58x.
After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +12.6bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is cash generation. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 10.5 pp.
Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 23.6bn versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 78.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -2.58x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -5.83% after a 10.5pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
84.1 | 175.7 | 18.0 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
-0.9 | 13.8 | -15.4 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
4.0 | -5.3 | -0.3 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
1.0 | -0.5 | -0.8 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-6.2 | 7.9 | -16.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-6.1 | 8.2 | -16.5 |
|
Net Income
|
-6.4 | 8.2 | -16.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-6.4 | 8.2 | -16.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-2,788.00 | 3,559.17 | -7,178.74 |
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