ICF
Đầu tư Thương mại Thủy sản ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, ICF shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. Notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, affecting earnings quality.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8.1 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 14.1 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 15.7 | 11.1 | 14.5 | 15.6 | 12.3 | 6.6 |
| Growth | -23% | -0% | -25% | +82% | -8% | -46% | +41% | -23% | -7% | +26% | +87% | — |
| Net Income | -2.2 | -1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -1.7 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -1.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | -0.7 |
| Net Margin | -26.92% | -14.06% | 6.39% | 1.38% | -22.29% | -4.78% | 1.26% | -8.97% | -7.47% | 3.98% | 11.56% | -10.22% |
Drivers of ICF's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at -3.4% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins improved (+0.4pp), but earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources — warrants closer scrutiny.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin edged up to -6.44%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 3.0pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 2.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.2pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.6pp remained a drag).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 0.4pp, financial result still accounts for 58.2% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 1.18x equity, net debt at 0.39x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 133.4bn, roughly 74.1% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 56.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 53.8 days, DSO fell 24.0 days, and DPO fell 21.4 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 1577.5 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.39x and interest coverage only at -1.60x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 66.1% of total debt, cash equals 8.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 34.7bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is -1.60x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 66.1% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -4.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -0.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +4.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive +5.0bn.
CFO / net income was 0.74x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at -1.60x.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 50.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.74x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at -1.60x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
43.0 | 45.4 | 48.9 | 61.2 | 65.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
31.5 | 34.5 | 36.9 | 48.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
11.5 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 10.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -1.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
2.7 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 3.2 | -3.7 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
9.8 | 6.0 | 8.1 | 8.5 | -6.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-2.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
|
Net Income
|
-2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-195.00 | 22.00 | 21.00 | -71.00 | -25.00 |
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