ICF

Đầu tư Thương mại Thủy sản ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Pre-tax profit relies materially on non-core sources Net financial result/PBT 50.93%
Price
2,700
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E -12.39x
P/B 0.43x
EPS -218
BVPS 6,294
ROE -3.4%
ROA -1.5%
Profit Margin -6.4%
Asset Turnover 0.23x
Equity Mult. 2.26x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, ICF shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. Notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, affecting earnings quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 43bn
+0.7%YoY
NET MARGIN
−6.44%
+0.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 3bn
+4.8%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
50.9%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23
Revenue 8.1 10.5 10.6 14.1 7.8 8.5 15.7 11.1 14.5 15.6 12.3 6.6
Growth -23% -0% -25% +82% -8% -46% +41% -23% -7% +26% +87%
Net Income -2.2 -1.5 0.7 0.2 -1.7 -0.4 0.2 -1.0 -1.1 0.6 1.4 -0.7
Net Margin -26.92% -14.06% 6.39% 1.38% -22.29% -4.78% 1.26% -8.97% -7.47% 3.98% 11.56% -10.22%

Drivers of ICF's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 0.6bn
Selling expenses ↓ 0.6bn
Other profit ↑ 0.1bn
Gross profit ↓ 0.9bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.2bn
Financial income ↓ 0.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 0.3bn
Selling expenses ↓ 0.1bn
Other profit ↑ 0.1bn
Gross profit ↓ 0.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.1bn
Financial income ↓ 0.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 -3.5% = -6.8% × 0.23 × 2.26
2026Q1 -3.4% = -6.4% × 0.23 × 2.26

ROE is broadly flat at -3.4% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: -6.4% +0.4pp Asset turnover: 0.23x +0.01x Leverage: 2.26x -0.01x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins improved (+0.4pp), but earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources — warrants closer scrutiny.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to -6.44%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 3.0pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 2.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.2pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.6pp remained a drag).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -6.44% +0.4pp
Gross Margin 24.85% −2.3pp
SG&A / Revenue 27.55% −3.0pp
Non-core / Revenue -3.75% −0.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 0.4pp, financial result still accounts for 58.2% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin
Capital Turnover 0.38x +0.01x
Average Invested Capital 112.9bn −0.7bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 1.18x equity, net debt at 0.39x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 133.4bn, roughly 74.1% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 56.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 53.8 days, DSO fell 24.0 days, and DPO fell 21.4 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 1577.5 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 40.6 days −24.0 days
Inventory 1673.3 days −53.8 days
Payables 136.4 days −21.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 1577.5 days −56.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.39x and interest coverage only at -1.60x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 66.1% of total debt, cash equals 8.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 34.7bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -1.60x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 66.1% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.39x +0.04x
Interest Coverage -1.60x +0.25x
Cash / Debt 8.2% +5.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 66.1% +5.1pp
CFO / NI 0.74x +1.41x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -4.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -0.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +4.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive +5.0bn.

CFO / net income was 0.74x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 2.1bn −4.0bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at -1.60x.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 50.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.74x.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at -1.60x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
43.0 45.4 48.9 61.2 65.8
Cost of Goods Sold
31.5 34.5 36.9 48.2 0.0
Gross Profit
11.5 11.0 12.0 13.0 10.2
Financial Expenses
1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 -1.5
Selling Expenses
2.7 3.1 2.1 3.2 -3.7
General and Administrative Expenses
9.8 6.0 8.1 8.5 -6.0
Operating Profit
-2.2 0.4 0.5 -0.3 -0.2
Profit Before Tax
-2.5 0.3 0.3 -0.9 -0.3
Net Income
-2.5 0.3 0.3 -0.9 -0.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
-2.5 0.3 0.3 -0.9 -0.3
Earnings per Share
-195.00 22.00 21.00 -71.00 -25.00

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