HPM
Xây dựng Thương mại và Khoáng Sản Hoàng Phúc ·UPCOM ·2022Q4
▲▲ Improving positively
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2022Q4 basis, HPM is improving on both revenue and margins, suggesting current growth is backed by both scale and operating efficiency — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. The next test will be whether this pace holds as the comparison base gets tougher.
| Metric | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 0.0 | 46.1 | 44.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Growth | -100% | +3% | — | -100% | 0% | 0% | +1050% | — |
| Net Income | -4.6 | 16.8 | 10.4 | -0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.8 |
| Net Margin | — | 36.38% | 23.25% | — | 43.89% | 35.73% | 11.51% | -667.76% |
Drivers of HPM's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 23.87%, rising 13.2pp. Despite pressure from Gross margin fell 50.4pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 33.1pp, the offset came from Other profit / Revenue rose 48.8pp (pressure remains from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.0pp).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC currently stands at 63.25%. Track NOPAT margin and capital turnover to assess capital efficiency.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.61x equity, net debt at 0.07x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 20.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 0.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 3.0bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Cash / debt stands at 0.4%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -3.9bn in 2023, against investing cash flow of -0.1bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +4.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +4.1bn.
CFO / net income was 0.03x.
After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +0.6bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 13.2 pp. The next item to monitor is effective tax rate looks unusual, with effective tax rate at 0.0%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.00x.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 23.87% after expanding 13.2pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the effective tax rate looks unusual, so current net profit may not fully reflect underlying earnings quality.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.00x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
6.0 | 90.6 | 4.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
2.2 | 58.4 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
3.7 | 32.2 | 3.7 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
0.9 | 9.4 | -1.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
2.6 | 22.8 | 2.7 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
1.2 | 18.9 | 0.5 |
|
Net Income
|
0.6 | 14.4 | 0.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
0.6 | 14.4 | 0.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
170.00 | 3,783.00 | 120.07 |
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