VTA
Vitaly ·UPCOM ·2024Q3
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2024Q3 basis, VTA is under pressure on both revenue and margins simultaneously — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 20.4 | 26.9 | 28.7 | 29.0 | 32.9 | 46.3 | 44.1 | 59.6 | 60.7 | 90.1 | 71.5 | 69.7 |
| Growth | -24% | -6% | -1% | -12% | -29% | +5% | -26% | -2% | -33% | +26% | +3% | — |
| Net Income | -4.0 | -6.5 | -4.1 | -9.3 | -6.0 | -9.0 | -4.2 | -8.8 | -3.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | -3.1 |
| Net Margin | -19.87% | -24.06% | -14.26% | -32.13% | -18.28% | -19.48% | -9.46% | -14.81% | -5.15% | 3.58% | 1.42% | -4.41% |
Drivers of VTA's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from -44.2% to -63.9% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to -22.80%, losing 7.5pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 6.1pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.8pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.5pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to -27.09%, losing 2.6pp. That translates to -27.09 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 7.5pp and capital turnover fell 0.42x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -27.09% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at -5.17x equity, net debt at 1.92x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 36.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 26.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 72.4 days, DSO rose 7.0 days, and DPO rose 52.8 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 137.6 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +7.0 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.92x and interest coverage only at -8.53x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 96.2% of total debt, cash equals 0.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 49.1bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.92x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is -8.53x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3
Cash Flow
Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 9.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 8.3bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +18.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +22.7bn.
CFO / net income was -0.51x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is effective tax rate looks unusual, with effective tax rate at 0.0%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 7.5 pp.
Watchpoint: the effective tax rate looks unusual, so current net profit may not fully reflect underlying earnings quality.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -22.80% after a 7.5pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
48.6 | 92.1 | 152.4 | 281.9 | 211.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
63.1 | 114.4 | 163.0 | 263.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
-14.4 | -22.3 | -10.7 | 17.9 | 14.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 2.8 | -2.7 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
2.0 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 14.4 | -11.5 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
5.9 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 8.8 | -7.6 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-25.3 | -38.5 | -28.3 | -7.5 | -7.1 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-17.1 | -35.0 | -28.5 | -7.7 | -7.3 |
|
Net Income
|
-17.1 | -34.4 | -28.5 | -7.7 | -6.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-17.1 | -34.4 | -28.5 | -7.7 | -6.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-2,140.00 | -4,302.00 | -3,568.00 | -962.00 | -810.46 |
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