LCS
Licogi 166 ·UPCOM ·2021Q3
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a Năm 2021 basis, LCS posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.
| Metric | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 | Q4'20 | Q3'20 | Q2'20 | Q1'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6.4 | 1.4 | 13.3 | 22.1 | 27.8 | 11.0 | 14.5 |
| Growth | +342% | -89% | -40% | -21% | +154% | -24% | — |
| Net Income | -5.3 | -7.0 | 0.1 | 11.8 | -5.1 | -6.7 | 0.1 |
| Net Margin | -83.22% | -488.21% | 0.42% | 53.60% | -18.33% | -61.21% | 0.41% |
Drivers of LCS's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are broadly flat — earnings quality is the factor to watch.
What is driving the margin?
Track net margin changes and the operating components against the same period last year.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2020Q3 -> 2021Q3
Watchpoints
Margin support from financial result remains high (63.1% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC of -0.1% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC currently stands at -0.11%. Track NOPAT margin and capital turnover to assess capital efficiency.
For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2020Q3 -> 2021Q3
Balance Sheet
ROIC for construction contractors swings with project progress and handover cycles — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage runs above the construction contractors average — project acceptance cycles warrant monitoring — liabilities at 3.97x equity, net debt at 1.24x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 205.1bn, roughly 48.8% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2020Q3 -> 2021Q3
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2020Q3 -> 2021Q3
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 1.7bn due to capex of 0.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.24x and interest coverage only at -0.02x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 0.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 90.0bn.
Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.24x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is -0.02x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2020Q3 -> 2021Q3
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 3.4bn in 2021, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +3.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +3.4bn.
CFO / net income was 3.46x.
After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −1.7bn.
For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2020Q3 -> 2021Q3
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -1789.5%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at -0.02x.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 3.46x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for -1789.5% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at -0.02x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
21.1 | 75.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
-2.0 | 14.0 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
-7.4 | -8.6 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
-2.6 | -6.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-12.0 | -0.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-12.3 | 0.1 |
|
Net Income
|
-12.3 | 0.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-12.3 | 0.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
0.00 | 9.18 |
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