TKC

Xây dựng và Kinh doanh Địa ốc Tân Kỷ ·UPCOM ·2022Q4

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin −563.58%, −564.12pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS -40,672
BVPS -29,956
ROE 424.1%
ROA -46.1%
Profit Margin -563.6%
Asset Turnover 0.08x
Equity Mult. -9.21x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2022Q4 basis, TKC posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. The key watch now is how long the business needs to stabilize its profit base.

TTM REVENUE
VND 113bn
−81.3%YoY
NET MARGIN
−563.58%
−564.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 638bn
−19827.5%YoY
Metric Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22 Q4'21 Q3'21 Q2'21 Q1'21 Q4'20 Q3'20 Q2'20 Q1'20
Revenue -1.3 44.1 50.3 20.1 200.4 32.2 142.7 231.3 375.3 118.6 92.9 43.6
Growth -103% -12% +150% -90% +522% -77% -38% -38% +216% +28% +113%
Net Income -638.9 0.1 0.5 0.3 3.1 -2.2 1.2 1.2 15.4 0.8 -3.7 -9.1
Net Margin 50188.73% 0.30% 1.07% 1.68% 1.54% -6.86% 0.82% 0.52% 4.11% 0.69% -3.98% -20.86%

Drivers of TKC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 424.2bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 295.6bn
Finance costs ↑ 103.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 389.9bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 272.9bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2021Q4 1.9% = 0.5% × 0.47 × 7.76
2022Q4 424.1% = -563.6% × 0.08 × -9.21

ROE edged up from 1.9% to 424.1%, but the main driver was not core operations.

Net margin: -563.6% -564.1pp Asset turnover: 0.08x -0.39x Leverage: -9.21x -16.96x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to -563.58%, losing 564.1pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 323.9pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 248.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 41.6pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 55.5pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -563.58% −564.1pp
Gross Margin -312.26% −323.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 245.40% +248.3pp

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC of -135.0% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -134.98%, losing 135.4pp. That translates to -134.98 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 605.2pp and capital turnover fell 0.59x, while invested capital contracted by 241bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

ROIC -134.98% −135.4pp
NOPAT Margin -604.77% −605.2pp
Capital Turnover 0.22x −0.59x
Average Invested Capital 507.1bn −240.9bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for construction contractors swings with project progress and handover cycles — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for construction contractors — liabilities at -3.66x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 1.40x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 98.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −480.4bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −190.6bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +572.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.

Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 1014.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +1333.3 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

Receivables 1333.3 days +1333.3 days
Inventory 9.5 days
Payables 328.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 1014.7 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 2.8bn due to capex of 0.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -1.40x and interest coverage only at -12.78x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 80.6% of total debt, cash equals 0.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 658.9bn.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -12.78x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 80.6% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -1.40x −5.29x
Interest Coverage -12.78x −12.85x
Cash / Debt 0.0% −0.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 80.6% −0.3pp
CFO / NI 0.00x +43.53x

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -2.8bn in 2022, against investing cash flow of 0.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +2.6bn. Financing cash flow was positive +2.6bn.

CFO / net income was 0.00x.

After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −2.8bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

CFO TTM 2.8bn +137.9bn
Cash Capex 0.0bn −10.4bn
FCF TTM −2.8bn +148.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 564.1 pp. The next watchpoint is effective tax rate looks unusual, with effective tax rate at 0.0%.

Watchpoint: the effective tax rate looks unusual, so current net profit may not fully reflect underlying earnings quality.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -563.58% after a 564.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
113.2 606.6 630.4
Cost of Goods Sold
466.6 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
-353.5 70.8 47.3
Financial Expenses
53.6 -49.4 -17.4
Selling Expenses
0.0 -0.0 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
277.8 -17.8 -19.2
Operating Profit
-684.8 3.6 10.7
Profit Before Tax
-637.7 4.1 8.8
Net Income
-637.9 3.2 3.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
-637.9 3.2 3.5
Earnings per Share
-40,697.63 276.00 247.00

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