TL4

Tổng Công ty cổ phần Xây dựng Thủy Lợi 4 - CTCP ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Price
12,500
Latest close
29 May 2026
P/E 128.87x
P/B 1.08x
EPS 97
BVPS 11,534
ROE 0.8%
ROA 0.3%
Profit Margin 2.9%
Asset Turnover 0.10x
Equity Mult. 2.85x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TL4 posted slightly higher profit versus the same period, but the increase is thin and not yet paired with clear improvement in revenue or margins — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. The point still to be proven is whether this profit level holds without further revenue momentum.

TTM REVENUE
VND 53bn
+32.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
2.68%
−0.7ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 1bn
+5.5%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 18.1 12.5 10.5 11.4 11.3 10.2 8.6 9.4 5.7 17.7 32.8 16.4
Growth +44% +19% -8% +1% +11% +18% -8% +65% -68% -46% +99%
Net Income 1.9 2.5 -0.4 -2.6 1.5 -31.0 10.0 20.8 1.9 -58.1 -0.1 12.6
Net Margin 10.59% 20.00% -4.23% -22.38% 13.59% -302.85% 115.63% 221.53% 33.65% -328.77% -0.45% 76.87%

Drivers of TL4's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 55.5bn
Other profit ↑ 12.9bn
Gross profit ↑ 3.8bn
Financial income ↓ 41.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 33.8bn
Minority interests ↑ 0.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 0.5bn
Gross profit ↑ 0.1bn
Financial income ↑ 0.1bn
Other profit ↑ 0.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 0.7% = 3.4% × 0.07 × 3.06
2026Q1 0.8% = 2.7% × 0.10 × 2.85

ROE is broadly flat at 0.8% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 2.7% -0.7pp Asset turnover: 0.10x +0.03x Leverage: 2.85x -0.20x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 2.68%, falling 0.7pp. SG&A / Revenue fell 127.4pp and Gross margin rose 0.6pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 168.6pp (Other profit / Revenue rose 32.7pp still added support).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 2.68% −0.7pp
Gross Margin 27.54% +0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue -38.92% −127.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is relatively light for construction contractors — liabilities at 1.80x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.05x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 14.5bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +38.2bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +0.4bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −24.0bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 56.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 57.5 days, DSO fell 223.3 days, and DPO fell 337.5 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +56.7 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 291.8 days −223.3 days
Inventory 102.6 days −57.5 days
Payables 613.2 days −337.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -218.8 days +56.7 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 23.4bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.05x and interest coverage only at 0.06x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.06x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.05x −0.03x
Interest Coverage 0.06x −231.55x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 18.57x +14.47x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 23.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -12.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +10.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1.8bn.

CFO / net income was 18.57x.

After spending +0.2bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +27.7bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 27.9bn +21.7bn
Cash Capex 0.2bn −0.6bn
FCF TTM +27.7bn +22.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The next item to monitor is capital structure should be read with cycle risk in mind. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.06x.

Watchpoint: Capital structure should be read with cycle risk in mind.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.06x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
45.8 33.9 77.2 108.2 213.7
Cost of Goods Sold
31.5 26.0 91.5 83.2 0.0
Gross Profit
14.4 7.9 -14.3 25.0 13.0
Financial Expenses
33.4 1.2 12.3 16.6 -13.4
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.3
General and Administrative Expenses
-16.5 34.2 76.1 13.7 -19.6
Operating Profit
-1.9 15.0 -59.3 -2.6 -16.1
Profit Before Tax
1.5 4.4 -48.2 -1.9 -11.5
Net Income
1.0 1.7 -48.2 -3.1 -11.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
1.1 1.9 -47.7 -2.4 -10.9
Earnings per Share
73.00 130.00 -3,253.00 -163.00 -749.00

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